¾îÁ¦ Çѱ¹ ¿¬ÇÕ´º½º¿Í ÀÎÅÍ³Ý ½Å¹®µé¿¡, ¡°ºÏÇÑÀ» ¹Ï´Â »ç¶÷Àº ¹Ùº¸¡±¶õ Á¦¸ñÀÇ ±â»ç°¡ ³µ´Ù. Ú¸±¹¹«Àå°ü Äܵ¹¸®ÀÚ ¶óÀ̽º°¡ Ú¸¿Ü±³°ü°èÀ§¿øȸ(CFR:Council on Foreign Relations)¶õ ´Üü¿ÍÀÇ ÀÎÅͺ信¼ ¸»Çϱ⸦ ¡°ºÏÇÑÀ» ¹Ï´Â »ç¶÷Àº ¹Ùº¸¡±¶ó°í ¸»Çß´Ù´Â ±â»ç´Ù. ÀÌ»óÇÏ´Ü »ý°¢¿¡¼ CFR Ȩ ÆäÀÌÁö¿¡ µé¾î°¡ ¶óÀ̽ºÀÇ ÀÎÅͺ並 Àо´Ï±î, ¡°¹Ùº¸¡±¶õ ¸»Àº ¾îµð¿¡µµ ã¾Æº¼ ¼ö ¾ø°í ¶óÀ̽º°¡ ¡°6ÀÚȸ´ãÀº ´©°¡ ¹¹·¡µµ ¾µ¸¸ Çß°í(¼ºÃëÇÑ ÀÏÀÌ ¸¹°í), ½Ã°£Àº Á» °É¸®°ÚÁö¸¸ 6ÀÚȸ´ã °è¼ÓÇϸé ú·°ËÁõÀº ²À ÇÏ°Ô µÉ °Í¡±À̶õ ¸»¸¸ °ÅǪ µÇǪ¸®ÇÑ, ÀüÇô ¹Ý´ëÀÇ ³»¿ëÀÌ´Ù. ´Ù½Ã Ú¸±¹¹«ºÎ À¥»çÀÌÆ®¿¡ µé¾î°¡¼ ¶óÀ̽ºÀÇ ÀÎÅÍºä ³»¿ëÀ» È®ÀÎÇϴϱî, Ú¸±¹¹«ºÎ¿¡¼ ¹ßÇ¥ÇÑ ³»¿ëµµ CFR Ȩ ÆäÀÌÁö ³»¿ë°ú ¶È °°´Ù. ¡°ºÏÇÑÀ» ¹Ï´Â »ç¶÷Àº ¹Ùº¸¡±¶õ ¸»Àº ´«À» ¾Ä°í ã¾Æº¸¾Æµµ ¾ø´Ù.
áÜÓ¨ÀÎÁø ¸ô¶óµµ À̵ûÀ§ è¦Üà è¦æ»¿¡ ¾îÀÌ°¡ ¾ø´Ù. ±âÀÚ°¡ ¸»À» ¸¸µé¾î³Â´øÁö, ¹ø¿ªÀ» À߸øÇß´øÁö, ¾î¶² ±âÀÚ°¡ ¶óÀ̽º¸¦ µû·Î ÀÎÅͺäÇß´øÁö, ¶óÀ̽º°¡ ¡°ºÏÇÑÀ» ¹Ï´Â »ç¶÷Àº ¹Ùº¸¡±¶ó´Â ¸»ÀÌ ¾îµð¿¡¼ ³ª¿Ô´ÂÁö, Á¾ÀâÀ» ¼ö°¡ ¾ø´Ù. Äܵð ¶óÀ̽º°¡ ¡°¼ÓÀ» ÁÙ ¾Ë¸é¼µµ ±èÁ¤ÀÏ°ú 6ÀÚȸ´ãÀ» °è¼ÓÇØ¿Â ³ª´Â Á¤¸» ¹Ùº¸ º´½Å¡±À̶ó°í ¾ç½É¼±¾ðÀ» Çß´Ù¸é ¸ð¸¦±î, ¸»µµ ¾ÈµÇ´Â ±â»ç¸¦ ¿Ã·Á³õ°í À̸¦ È®Àεµ ¾ÈÇÏ°í ÀüÀçÇÏ´Â ½Å¹®µé ÀÎÅͳݵéÀÌ ¿µ ¸ø¸¶¶¥ÇÏ´Ù.
¹Ì±¹¾ð·Ð¿¡¼ ºÏÇÑÀαǿ¡ °üÇÑ ±â»ç³ª Ä®·³À» º¸¸é ¿½ÉÈ÷ ¹ø¿ªÇؼ ³²ÇÑ »çÀÌÆ®µé¿¡ ÀüÇØ¿Â °ÍÀÌ ¿©·¯ ÇØ µÇ¾ú´Ù. Å»ºÏµ¿ÁöµéÀÇ ÆíÁö³ª ź¿ø¼µéÀ» ¿µ¾î·Î ¹ø¿ªÇÏ°í, ¹Ì±¹ ¿£Áö¿Àµé Á¤Ä¡ÀεéÀÇ ÆíÁö³ª ¼º¸í¼µéÀ» Çѱ۷Π¹ø¿ªÇؼ ÀüÇØ¿Â °Íµµ ¿©·¯ ÇØ µÇ¾ú´Ù. ±×·±µ¥ Çѱ¹½Å¹®À̳ª ÀÎÅͳݿ¡ ¿Ã¸®´Â ±â»çµé¿¡ è¦Üóª è¦æ»ÀÌ ³Ê¹« Àæ´Ù. ÇÊÀÚ ¹ø¿ªÀÌ ¿Ïº®ÇÑ ¹ø¿ªÀ̶õ í»Ø» í»óÆÀÌ ¾Æ´Ï´Ù. ÃÖ¼ÒÇÑ è¦æ»Àº ¾ø°Ô ÇÏ·Á°í ¿½ÉÈ÷ ³ë·ÂÇØ¿Ô´Ù. ºÏÇÑÀαÇÀº »ç¶÷µé ¸ñ¼ûÀÌ °É¸° ÀÏÀÌ°í, ±èÁ¤ÀÏÀ̳ª Ä£ºÏÁÂÆĵé°ú ½Î¿ì´Â ÀÏÀº ³ª¶ó ¿î¸íÀÌ °É¸° ÀÏÀ̴ϱî, Á¶±×¸¶ÇÑ ´º½º¶óµµ Á¤È®È÷ ÀüÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù. ±×·± ¸»À» ÇØÁá´õ¶ó¸é ¿ÀÁ× ÁÁÀ¸·Ã¸¸, ¶óÀ̽º°¡ CFR ÀÎÅͺ信¼ ¡°ºÏÇÑÀ» ¹Ï´Â »ç¶÷Àº ¹Ùº¸¡±¶õ ¸»Àº ÇÑ ÀûÀÌ ¾ø´Ù.
6ÀÚȸ´ãÀ¸·Î ±èÁ¤ÀÏ¿¡°Ô »ç¶÷µé ´õ Á×ÀÌ°í ÇÙ¹«±â ´õ ¸¸µé ½Ã°£¸¸ ¹ú¾îÁÖ°í, µ·°ú ½Ä·®°ú ±â¸§¸¸ ¶â±â°í ³ª¼µµ ¾ÆÁ÷±îÁö Á¤½Å ¸øÂ÷¸®°í 6ÀÚȸ´ã¿¡ ¹Ì·ÃÀ» °®´Â ¹Ùº¸ Äܵð ¶óÀ̽º°¡ ÇÑ ¸»À» ¿µ¹® ±×´ë·Î ÀüÀçÇÑ´Ù.
On the North Korea file you've been dealing with most recently, can you state what has been the value of the U.S. engagement policy that's been unfolding in the last couple years? How do you tell someone that despite this latest backsliding, this has been a worthwhile move?
You start with the fact that they haven't made plutonium since the Six-Party agreement of September 2005, and that's an important point. They've shut down the reactor [at Yongbyon]. They've disabled certain elements of it along with the cooling tower. It's not the permanent disablement that we looked for, but it's a series of important steps. We have negotiated a verification protocol, to which they've agreed. Unfortunately, some of the clarifications that they made to us privately that needed to be made so that there were no loopholes in the verification protocol, they refused to write down. And that's where things broke down. But it also has been of value because the North Koreans are in a situation in which they are confronting Russia, China, the United States, South Korea, and Japan, so that they can't just make this a bilateral problem with the United States. And the fuel oil shipments that they need, they need not just from the United States but also from South Korea. And since South Korea has made clear that their relationship with North Korea depends in part on how denuclearization goes, the North can't enjoy certain benefits while continuing to stall on the nuclear file. But much has already been achieved here. Within the context of the Six-Party Talks you ultimately will get a verification protocol that allows us to deal with a lot of very troubling activities, many of which we've learned more about as the process of diplomacy has gone on.
2008³â 12¿ù 21ÀÏ ¿ÀÀü
±èÁ¤ÀÏÀÇ ´ëÇлì Àü½Ãȸ/³²½Å¿ì ¾¸
http://nk-projects.blogspot.com
°¨»çÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
¿À´Ã ¿ÀÀü ¶óÀ̽º¿¡ °üÇÑ ±Û, ¡°ºÏÇÑÀ» ¹Ï´Â »ç¶÷Àº ¹Ùº¸¡±¶ó?¶õ ±ÛÀ» ÇÊÀÚÀÇ ºí·Î±×¿Í µý °è½ÃÆǵ鿡 ¿Ã¸° ÈÄ, ¿À·¡°£¸¸¿¡ À͸íÀÇ µÎ ºÐÀ¸·ÎºÎÅÍ ÇÊÀÚÀÇ ºí·Î±×¿¡ ÄÚ¸àÆ®¸¦ ¹Þ¾Ò½À´Ï´Ù. ¶óÀ̽º°¡ ¡°ºÏÇÑÀ» ¹Ï´Â »ç¶÷Àº ¹Ùº¸¡±¶õ ¸»À» Çß´Ù´Â ¾ßÈÄ ´åÄÄ ±â»ç¸¦ º¸³»¿Ô°í, ÀÌ ±â»ç¸¦ CNN¿¡¼µµ º¸µµ¸¦ Çß´Ù´Â Àü°¥À̾ú½À´Ï´Ù. ÂüÀ¸·Î °í¸¶¿î ºÐµéÀÔ´Ï´Ù.
¾ßÈÄ´åÄÄ°ú CNNÀ» °Ë»öÇغ¸´Ï ·ÎÀÌÅͽº Åë½ÅÀÇ ÇÇÅÍ Äí´Ï¶õ ±âÀÚ°¡, ¶óÀ̽º°¡ ¡°You'd have to be an idiot to trust the North Koreans, õġ°¡ ¾Æ´Ï°ï ¾î¶»°Ô ºÏÇÑÀ» ¹Ï°Ú´Â°¡?"¶õ ¸»À» Çؼ ¸ð¿©ÀÖ´ø ÀþÀº ûÁßµéÀ» ¿ô°å´Ù°í ½è½À´Ï´Ù. ±×·±µ¥ ¶óÀ̽º°¡ ±× ¸»À» CFR ÀÎÅͺ信¼ Çß´ÂÁö, µý °÷ ÀþÀº ûÁߵ鿡°Ô ¿¬¼³ÇÒ ¶§ Çß´ÂÁö, ºÐ¸íÈ÷ ¹àÈ÷Áö¸¦ ¾Ê¾Ò½À´Ï´Ù. ´Ù½Ã È®ÀÎÇßÁö¸¸ CFR°ú ¹Ì±¹¹«ºÎ »çÀÌÆ®¿¡ ¿Ã·ÁÁ®ÀÖ´Â ¶óÀ̽º CFR ÀÎÅͺäÀÇ transcript (³ìÀ½±â·Ï)¿¡´Â ±×·± ¸»ÀÌ ¾ø½À´Ï´Ù.
¾Æ¹«Æ° ¶óÀ̽ºÀÇ CFR ÀÎÅÍºä ³»¿ëÁß ´ëºÏÁ¤Ã¥¿¡ °üÇÑ ¹ß¾ðÀ» °ËÅäÇϸé, ¶óÀ̽º°¡ ¾ÆÁ÷µµ Á¤½Å ¸øÂ÷¸®°í ³¡Àå³ 6ÀÚȸ´ã¿¡ ¹Ì·ÃÀ» °®°íÀÖ´Â °Í¸¸Àº »ç½ÇÀÔ´Ï´Ù. Á¦ ºí·Î±×¿¡ ÄÚ¸àÆ®¸¦ º¸³»ÁֽŠµÎ ºÐ²² ´Ù½Ã °¨»çµå¸³´Ï´Ù.
2008³â 12¿ù 21ÀÏ ¿ÀÈÄ
±èÁ¤ÀÏÀÇ ´ëÇлì Àü½Ãȸ/³²½Å¿ì ¾¸